Your Estimates Are Inconsistent Because Every Session Starts From Zero

Your team has estimated hundreds of tickets. Delivered dozens of sprints. But none of that experience makes it into the next planning session. Ibis Flow changes that.
AI-powered historical matching. Confidence tracking. Jira-connected. 30-day free trial.
Ibis Flow AI estimation insights - complexity analysis and risk identification
THE EVIDENCE

Estimation Accuracy Is a Systemic Problem

Research consistently shows that agile teams struggle with estimation accuracy. The issue isn't your team — it's that conventional tools don't preserve the context that makes estimates better over time.

60%+

of sprints experience scope or delivery overruns

the same type of work is estimated differently across sprints

0

historical tickets surfaced in a typical planning poker session

Your Jira history holds the answers. The problem is that nobody looks during estimation.

ROOT CAUSES

Why Your Estimates Keep Missing

Estimation accuracy doesn't improve by accident. These patterns are why even experienced teams keep getting it wrong.

Organisational Amnesia

When a senior developer leaves, their estimation instinct goes with them. Nothing in your current tools captures why a 3-point ticket became an 8.

Anchoring & Groupthink

The first person to speak shapes every vote. Without hidden votes and structured discussion, estimation becomes social agreement.

No Historical Baseline

Your team has completed similar tickets before. But nobody searches Jira mid-session to find them, and even if they did, the reasoning is lost.

Confidence Is Invisible

A confident 5 and a guess-work 5 look identical in Jira. Without tracking confidence, you can't tell which estimates need closer attention.

THE SOLUTION

Estimation That Gets Smarter Over Time

Ibis Flow doesn't just run planning poker. It builds your team's estimation intelligence by connecting every session to your actual delivery history.

AI-Powered Historical Matching

Semantic search finds similar past tickets automatically. See what was estimated, how long it actually took, and what risks emerged — before anyone votes.

Confidence-Aware Voting

Every estimate carries a confidence signal. Low confidence with high variance triggers discussion, not a quick re-vote.

Structured Discussion Flow

Hidden votes until reveal. Drag-and-drop reactions flag risks and dependencies. Outlier detection prompts the right conversations.

Context That Persists

Concerns, risks, and reasoning are captured alongside the estimate and synced to Jira. When someone asks 'why was this an 8?', the answer is in the ticket.

SEE IT IN ACTION

How Historical Context Changes Every Estimate

During estimation, Ibis Flow surfaces similar past tickets — showing what was estimated, what actually happened, and what risks were flagged.

AI insights panel showing 6 historically similar tickets surfaced during estimation

Historically similar tickets are surfaced automatically, showing estimates, outcomes, and flagged risks from past work.

ACCURACY IMPROVEMENT

From Guessing to Informed Estimation

The difference is simple: when your team can see what happened last time, they make better decisions this time.

Without Historical Context

  • Every session starts from scratch
  • Senior knowledge locked in people's heads
  • Same mistakes repeated across sprints
  • Confidence and reasoning not captured

With Ibis Flow

  • Similar past tickets surfaced automatically
  • Institutional knowledge preserved in tickets
  • Patterns and risks visible before voting
  • Confidence tracked and acted upon
Ibis Flow consensus view - team votes, confidence levels, and discussion outcomes
KEY CAPABILITIES

Built for Estimation Accuracy

AI Ticket Analysis

Automated complexity scoring, risk identification, and suggested discussion questions — generated from your ticket's content before voting begins.

Seamless Jira Integration

One-click OAuth connection. Import tickets from any board. Estimates, confidence, and context sync back to Jira automatically.

Team Calibration

Track estimation accuracy over time. See which ticket types your team consistently under or over-estimates, and calibrate accordingly.

Enterprise Security

SSO support. GDPR compliant. Data processing agreements available. Built and hosted in the EU for teams that take security seriously.

TRUSTED INFRASTRUCTURE

Built for Serious Product Teams

Jira Marketplace Integration
Built & Hosted in the EU
GDPR Compliant
SSO & Enterprise Security
Full Session Audit Trail
Data Processing Agreements
SIMPLE PRICING

Plans That Grow With You

Team

Everything a single team needs for accurate estimation. Historical matching, AI insights, Jira sync, and confidence tracking.

Multi-Team

Add prioritisation workflows and cross-team coordination when your estimation practice scales.

Organisation

Portfolio visibility, strategic planning, and estimation calibration across your entire organisation.

Stop Losing Estimation Knowledge

Connect your Jira instance and run your first estimation session with historical context. See what happens when every estimate is informed by real delivery experience.

30-day free trial. Full access. Credit card required but not charged until trial ends.